Thursday, January 12, 2012

Weather Cancels Ride

Riders,
Adventure takes many forms, and that includes dealing with weather.  I have spent weeks paddling a sea-kayak in the wet SE Alaskan rain-forest (and will again this year) and dealt with the weather.  I have ridden in 105F temps and dealt with the weather.  I've been blown around the road and dealt with the weather.  All of this was great adventure.  But riding on frozen surfaces is one thing I try to avoid.

My weather Guru, Cliff Mass, says the  ECMWF (European Center for Medium Range Forecasting) has the world's best global ensemble forecast. The average or mean of an ensemble or collection of forecasts tends to be more accurate than individual forecast model runs. http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/  The National Weather Service cites the latest ECMWF ensemble, their own predictions, and the Environment Canada runs in yesterday and today's Area Forecast discussion. http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDSEW&wfo=SEW
The upshot of it is Saturday evening the snow level drops to the surface and there is some chance of snow around the area.  

With this in mind, I'm cancelling the MLK Olympic Loop Ride and rescheduling for President's Day weekend, February 18-20th.  Several of you committed to this upcoming weekend, and I hope you will be available in February. 

Tonight, I'm giving a presentation at Ride West BMW on preparig your Dual-sport bike for Adventure Riding.  630 for Pizza and soda, 7pm for the show. Should be at least one laugh! http://www.ridewest.com/event_detail.asp?event=539315

Let's Ride!

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